EV S curves good news

 by Ian Page

The right hand chart is interesting as it predicts the time from 10% evs to 85% as about 8 years.Given the percentages currently on the left chart moat having passed 10% by 2020, it is plausible that 2028 will see the beginning of the end of the  transition.

Quite a lot will have to happen in infrastructure and the availability of low end EVs, faster charging batteries, widespread availability of charging stations, common standards for charging cables , power settings, and means of payment as well as grid and agile pricing,insurance and garage repairs, but nothing we dont know about, or which is being progressed in  RnD really fast in china.

Interestingly , the petrol head taxi driver that brought me home from the airport yesterday was totally toyota. He told me that EVs keep catching fire, that batteries wear out and have to be replaced in two years, that electricity is more expensive than petrol, that EVs are bad for the environment, the tires wear out fast, hybrids are better for towns and its best to charge the battery from the petrol engine , and a whole lot of other stuff. I bit my tongue and used it as a research opportunity! My guess is that there is a well orchestrated Toyota campaign to keep their customers!



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